A new assessment by the UN Environment Programme (UNEP) warns that global warming is set to exceed 1.5°C within the next decade, with current national pledges falling significantly short of Paris Agreement targets. The world is on track for a dangerous escalation in climate risks as emissions continue to rise.

• Full implementation of current nationally determined contributions (NDCs) would lead to a 2.3–2.5°C temperature rise by 2100, while existing policies alone could see temperatures increase by as much as 2.8°C.
• UN Secretary-General António Guterres stated that a temporary overshoot above 1.5°C is now inevitable, starting by the early 2030s at the latest.
• Global emissions grew by 2.3 percent in 2024, reaching 57.7 gigatons of CO₂ equivalent, with only 60 Parties, representing 63 percent of global emissions, having submitted NDCs with 2035 mitigation targets.