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Originally published by Techish Kenya
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November 17, 2025
6h ago

Jumia Is Winning a Rural War It Can’t Seem to Afford

Jumia Is Winning a Rural War It Can’t Seem to Afford

Jumia's report claims rural victory, but shrinking margins reveal a two-front war. An analysis of Kenyan e-commerce...

✨ Key Highlights

Jumia is reportedly "winning" the rural e-commerce market in Kenya, with 60% of its orders now originating from outside major cities, yet the company faces significant financial challenges and competitive pressures.

  • Jumia's Q3 2025 revenue of $45.6 million missed investor forecasts of $50 million, leading to a 3.41% pre-market stock dive.
  • The company's gross profit margin shrank from 14% to 12%, mainly due to rural customers prioritizing "Best prices (58.9%)" amid inflation.
  • Jumia employs a 26,000-person "JForce" agent network and over 2,700 "Order Points" to facilitate rural sales, a strategy deemed expensive and low-margin.
  • The company is lobbying against a new 5% Withholding Tax (WHT) on sales by local sellers, which it argues will harm its 60% SME seller base.
  • In urban areas, Jumia is being outmaneuvered by retailers like Carrefour and informal sellers on platforms like Instagram and TikTok, offering faster delivery and "pay on delivery" options via boda-boda networks.

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