ODM losing ground as rivals exploit internal rifts- analyst

ODM risks losing ground in its traditional strongholds as rival political parties exploit internal divisions to court grassroots supporters, a political analyst now says...
✨ Key Highlights
The Orange Democratic Movement (ODM) is at risk of losing its traditional strongholds due to internal divisions, allowing rival parties to gain ground, according to political analyst Alenga Torosterdt. This internal strife coincides with what would have been Raila Odinga’s 81st birthday, highlighting the challenges the party faces three months after Odinga’s passing.
- Torosterdt attributes ODM’s past dominance to Odinga’s personal connection with grassroots voters, rather than strong party structures.
- A December 2025 poll by TIFA Research revealed only 19 percent of ODM supporters favor backing President William Ruto in 2027, indicating a disconnect between leadership and grassroots sentiment.
- Key figures like National Assembly Minority Leader Junet Mohamed and Homa Bay Governor Gladys Wanga advocate for an alliance with Ruto’s re-election bid, while Secretary-General Edwin Sifuna opposes it, leading to accusations of campaign fund mismanagement.
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ODM Party Addresses Internal Rifts Involving Secretary-General Edwin Sifuna - January 2026
Migori Senator Eddy Oketch issued a seven-day ultimatum to the Orange Democratic Movement (ODM) leadership, demanding a response to allegations of constitutional violations by Secretary-General Edwin Sifuna. Following this, ODM Party Leader Oburu Oginga met with Sifuna after a petition to expel the Nairobi Senator from the party was withdrawn. The meeting focused on party unity and growth. According to political analyst Alenga Torosterdt, the ODM is at risk of losing its traditional strongholds due to such internal divisions. These events come three months after the passing of Raila Odinga. Separately, the Jubilee Party leadership, led by Deputy Party Leader Fred Matiang’i, defended former President Uhuru Kenyatta against attacks from a faction within the ODM Party.






