A new Infotrak survey reveals that ODM currently leads UDA in Western Kenya with 25 percent support, despite a national alliance between the two parties. This comes as the region prepares for the 2027 general elections amidst significant political realignments and challenges to ODM's long-standing dominance.

• ODM holds a narrow lead over UDA with 25 percent support compared to UDA's 20 percent in Western Kenya, according to a survey released on January 8, 2026.
• The ODM party's influence is challenged by recent high-profile defections, including former Kakamega Governor Wycliffe Oparanya, and the rising dominance of the Democratic Action Party (DAP-K) led by Former Interior Cabinet Secretary Eugene Wamalwa.
• ODM has set a June 2026 deadline to decide its political path for 2027, with critics noting the party's risk of losing traditional dominance without a unifying figure like former party leader Raila Odinga.