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Originally published by Capital News
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January 21, 2026
1w ago

China’s economy seen growing 4.5 in 2026 after IMF upgrade

China’s economy seen growing 4.5 in 2026 after IMF upgrade

IMF raises China’s 2026 growth forecast to 4.5pc, citing easing trade tensions and policy support, and says China remains a key engine of global growth...

✨ Key Highlights

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has increased its 2026 economic growth forecast for China to 4.5 percent, a 0.3 percentage point rise from its October prediction. This upgrade is primarily attributed to relaxed trade tensions and ongoing domestic policy support.

  • The IMF also revised China's 2025 growth projection upward by 0.2 percentage point to 5 percent due to stimulus measures and additional policy bank lending.
  • China's National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) announced that the country's Gross Domestic Product (GDP) reached a record $20.01 trillion last year, growing by 5 percent.
  • Head of the NBS Kang Yi stated that China's contribution to global growth is expected to be approximately 30 percent.
  • Global growth in 2024 is projected at 3.3 percent, slightly higher than the IMF's October forecast, with significant contributions from the United States and China.

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