A new report by G4S projects that Kenya will experience increased political instability and civil unrest in 2026, stemming from the Gen Z-led demonstrations of 2024 and 2025. This comes despite an easing of economic instability concerns for the year.

• 45 per cent of security leaders in Sub-Saharan Africa expect political instability to be a major risk in 2026, while 43 per cent cited civil unrest.
• Managing Director of G4S Kenya, Laurence Okelo, stated that unresolved grievances from previous youth protests and the approaching 2027 General Election are contributing to heightened tensions.
• Economic instability concerns have dropped, with 41 per cent viewing it as a major threat in 2026, down from 52 per cent in 2024, due to stabilizing exchange rates, declining interest rates, and easing inflation.