Kenya faces a potential return of the El Niño weather phenomenon later in 2026, according to a new climate outlook report.

• A 58-61 per cent probability of El Niño conditions is projected from June-December 2026.
• The Kenya Meteorological Department issued the warning based on their El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) outlook.
• This suggests potential for enhanced rainfall during the October-November-December short rains, particularly in eastern and central Kenya, with risks of flooding.