The Orange Democratic Movement (ODM) is fracturing into two hostile factions following the death of its long-time leader, Raila Odinga.

• The party is splitting between Oburu Odinga, Raila's brother and the party leader, and Edwin Sifuna, a key protégé and Senator.
• Winnie Odinga, Raila's daughter, has aligned with her uncle Oburu, lending dynastic legitimacy to his camp.
• This schism echoes the 1992 split of the Forum for the Restoration of Democracy (Ford), potentially impacting the 2027 general election.