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Originally published by Capital News
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April 15, 2026
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OPINION: Beyond “Overcapacity”: Rethinking China’s Industrial Scale in a Constrained Global Economy

OPINION: Beyond “Overcapacity”: Rethinking China’s Industrial Scale in a Constrained Global Economy

The claim that China suffers from “overcapacity” has become a familiar refrain in global economic debates. It is often invoked to explain trade tensions, - Kenya breaking news | Kenya news today | Capitalfm.co.ke..

✨ Key Highlights

The article challenges the notion of China's "overcapacity," arguing it reflects a structural imbalance between global production capabilities and the world's ability to finance and absorb demand, rather than an excess of supply.

  • China accounts for over 80% of global solar photovoltaic manufacturing capacity, which is presented not as an imbalance, but as capacity for a necessary future energy transition.
  • The World Trade Organisation data shows China's share of global exports is below 15%, largely consisting of intermediate goods that support global production chains.
  • The article suggests the real constraint is the global economy's capacity to convert demand into realized investment, particularly in capital-constrained regions, rather than China's manufacturing scale.

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