The Greater Horn of Africa Climate Outlook Forum (GHACOF) has projected a high likelihood of below-normal rainfall across much of the northern Greater Horn of Africa during the critical June–September 2026 season, raising concerns for food security and water availability.

• Below-average rainfall is expected in large parts of South Sudan, Uganda, Ethiopia, Djibouti, Eritrea, Sudan, and sections of western and coastal Kenya.
• The outlook was released by the IGAD Climate Prediction and Applications Centre (ICPAC), a World Meteorological Organization (WMO) designated center.
• This forecast is particularly critical as the June–September period accounts for over 50% of annual rainfall in many northern parts of the region and over 80% in most of Sudan.