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Originally published by Nation Politics
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politics
July 13, 2026
13h ago

Why presidential run-off is inevitable if polls were held today

Why presidential run-off is inevitable if polls were held today

New Infotrak survey released on Monday shows no candidate commands the constitutional threshold for first-round victory...

✨ Key Highlights

A new Infotrak poll indicates that a presidential run-off is inevitable in Kenya if elections were held today, as no candidate is projected to secure over 50% of the vote required for an outright win.

  • President William Ruto is the leading candidate with 32% support, falling short of the 50% + 1 vote threshold.
  • The opposition faces a fragmented support base, with Kalonzo Musyoka polling second at 13%, and a consolidated opposition ticket could reach 47%.
  • The survey interviewed 3,000 adults across all 47 counties between June 22-26.

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