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Originally published by The Standard Business
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August 26, 2026
2h ago

Forex trade: What if Kenyans are being fooled by randomness?

Forex trade: What if Kenyans are being fooled by randomness?

Kenya’s forex trading losses show how leverage, costs and survivorship bias can make apparent trading success look like skill...

✨ Key Highlights

A new report reveals that the vast majority of Kenyan forex traders are losing money, questioning whether success is due to skill or sheer luck in a seemingly rigged market.

  • 77.6% of 152,110 active client accounts recorded losses in 2025, with net losses climbing to Sh5.87 billion.
  • The Capital Market Authority (CMA) data highlights a concerning trend of fewer players experiencing deeper financial wounds.
  • High leverage limits (up to 1:400) and broker fees are cited as factors heavily weighting the game against traders, with brokers like Exness and HF Markets absorbing significant client losses.

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