A united opposition candidate is projected to secure a commanding 76% of the vote in the 2027 presidential elections, significantly defeating President William Ruto.

• A unified opposition could potentially secure 76 percent of the total votes.
• The forecast involves a single presidential candidate from the opposition.
• This projection was made in anticipation of the 2027 general elections.

A recent opinion poll by TIFA indicates that Deputy President Prof Kithure Kindiki is the most preferred choice to be President William Ruto's running mate in the upcoming elections. The poll shows Prof Kindiki with a commanding 59 percent support.

• Prof Kithure Kindiki leads with 59 percent of the vote in the latest TIFA poll for President Ruto's running mate.
• Other contenders, including Gladys Wanga (12 percent), Dr Oburu Oginga (3 percent), and Hassan Joho (1 percent), trail significantly.
• Despite strong backing, Prof Kindiki faces the challenge of consolidating the Mount Kenya vote, while ODM continues to push for the Deputy President position in potential UDA pact negotiations.

A recent poll from Trends and Insights for Africa (Tifa) reveals that ODM Secretary-General Edwin Sifuna is an emerging political force, potentially complicating plans for both President William Ruto and the opposition ahead of the August 2027 General Election.

• A united opposition could defeat President Ruto in the first round of the election, as he may struggle to secure the required 50 per cent plus one vote.
• The most preferred opposition ticket among supporters is a Kalonzo Musyoka–Fred Matiang’i pairing, garnering 31 per cent support, while a Kalonzo–Sifuna ticket is also strong at 28 per cent.
• Among President Ruto's supporters, a Kalonzo–Sifuna ticket is preferred over a Kalonzo–Matiang’i lineup.
• In terms of party popularity, ODM has overtaken UDA, polling 18 per cent to UDA's 17 per cent.