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HomeDaily NewsSunday, May 17, 2026TIFA Poll Shows No Candidate Can Win 50+1 Threshold in 2027 Race - May 2026
Kenya Politics & Government5 stories from 2 sources

TIFA Poll Shows No Candidate Can Win 50+1 Threshold in 2027 Race - May 2026

A new TIFA poll reveals a highly competitive and fragmented Kenyan electoral landscape for 2027, with no candidate currently projected to win the 50+1 threshold in the first round. President William Ruto is reportedly enacting a calculated strategy to weaken the opposition, particularly the Orange Democratic Movement (ODM), ahead of the 2027 General Election. Meanwhile, opposition figures are preparing to form a strong coalition to challenge Ruto's administration and potentially unseat him. Additionally, Ruto's effort to secure a position for Supreme Court Judge Njoki Ndung'u on the International Criminal Court bench may face significant challenges. Separately, the Odinga family has publicly criticized Cabinet Secretary John Mbadi following his remarks questioning the current whereabouts of the late Raila Odinga.

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Sunday 12:00 AMStandard Politics

The 50 per cent plus 1 headache for Ruto and the opposition

The 50 per cent plus 1 headache for Ruto and the opposition

A new TIFA poll reveals a highly competitive and fragmented Kenyan electoral landscape for 2027, with no candidate currently projected to win the 50+1 threshold in the first round.

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Key Highlights

A new TIFA poll reveals a highly competitive and fragmented Kenyan electoral landscape for 2027, with no candidate currently projected to win the 50+1 threshold in the first round.

  • President William Ruto leads with 24% of the preferred presidential vote, but faces a divided field.
  • Key contenders include Kalonzo Musyoka (19%) and Fred Matiang'i (14%), with 15% undecided.
  • The results highlight the constitutional challenge of securing a majority, posing a significant hurdle for both Ruto and the opposition.
Sunday 12:00 AMStandard Politics

The making of a political Tsunami?

The making of a political Tsunami?

A significant political realignment is reportedly brewing in Kenya as opposition figures are preparing to form a strong coalition. This new alliance aims to challenge President William Ruto's administration and potentially unseat him in the upcoming General Election.

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Key Highlights

A significant political realignment is reportedly brewing in Kenya as opposition figures are preparing to form a strong coalition. This new alliance aims to challenge President William Ruto's administration and potentially unseat him in the upcoming General Election.

  • The primary objective is to constrain President Ruto's power.
  • Key critics of President Ruto are leading the coalition efforts.
  • The article suggests this move could represent a major political shift in Kenya.
Sunday 12:00 AMStandard Politics

Ruto's ICC Judge gamble could backfire

Ruto's ICC Judge gamble could backfire

President William Ruto's effort to secure a position for Supreme Court Judge Njoki Ndung’u on the International Criminal Court (ICC) bench may face significant challenges.

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Key Highlights

President William Ruto's effort to secure a position for Supreme Court Judge Njoki Ndung’u on the International Criminal Court (ICC) bench may face significant challenges.

  • The Kenyan President has been actively seeking support from other African leaders during diplomatic engagements.
  • Key figures involved include President William Ruto, Judge Njoki Ndung’u, and facilitated meetings with leaders from Sierra Leone and Ivory Coast.
  • This diplomatic push, an attempt to secure a prestigious international role for a Kenyan judge, has been described as a potentially high-stakes gamble.
Sunday 1:00 AMStandard Politics

Inside calculated plan to weaken the opposition ahead of polls

Inside calculated plan to weaken the opposition ahead of polls

President William Ruto is reportedly enacting a calculated strategy to weaken the opposition, particularly the Orange Democratic Movement (ODM), ahead of the 2027 General Election.

Read Story

Key Highlights

President William Ruto is reportedly enacting a calculated strategy to weaken the opposition, particularly the Orange Democratic Movement (ODM), ahead of the 2027 General Election.

  • The plan involves a multi-pronged approach to consolidate power.
  • Key figures include President William Ruto.
  • A notable tactic being employed is fueling regional divisions to confuse voters.
Saturday 9:46 PMNation PoliticsFirst

Mbadi under fire from Odinga family over 'where is Raila now' remark

Mbadi under fire from Odinga family over 'where is Raila now' remark

The Odinga family has publicly criticized Cabinet Secretary John Mbadi following his remarks questioning the current whereabouts of the late Raila Odinga.

Read Story

Key Highlights

The Odinga family has publicly criticized Cabinet Secretary John Mbadi following his remarks questioning the current whereabouts of the late Raila Odinga.

  • The Odinga family, including Ida Odinga, Winnie Odinga, and Ruth Odinga, accused Mr. Mbadi of disrespecting the legacy of the late Raila Odinga.
  • CS John Mbadi had recently stated, "Where is Raila now?", which the family interpreted as a scornful remark.
  • This exchange highlights ongoing tensions within the Orange Democratic Movement (ODM) party after the death of its former leader.
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