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Originally published by Citizen Digital
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December 23, 2025
2h ago

More Kenyans believe Ruto's re-election will be difficult after Raila's demise - TIFA

More Kenyans believe Ruto's re-election will be difficult after Raila's demise - TIFA

ODM remains the most popular political party in Kenya at 20 per cent...

✨ Key Highlights

The death of opposition leader Raila Odinga has significantly reshaped Kenya's political landscape, with 41% of Kenyans believing it will make President William Ruto's re-election in 2027 more difficult, according to a recent TIFA poll.

  • 30% of respondents believe Odinga's absence makes re-election easier for President Ruto, while 18% see no difference.
  • The Orange Democratic Movement (ODM) remains the most popular political party at 20%, followed by the United Democratic Alliance (UDA) at 16%, both experiencing significant declines since August 2022.
  • The number of undecided voters has doubled to 30% as of November 2025, indicating fluid voter loyalty.
  • 50% of Kenyans expect ODM to exit the current Broad-Based Government and return to opposition ahead of the 2027 presidential election.
  • There is significant disagreement within the electorate on who should lead ODM's charge in 2027, with 34% preferring a current ODM leader.

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