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Originally published by Citizen DigitalDecember 23, 2025
2h ago
More Kenyans believe Ruto's re-election will be difficult after Raila's demise - TIFA
ODM remains the most popular political party in Kenya at 20 per cent...
✨ Key Highlights
The death of opposition leader Raila Odinga has significantly reshaped Kenya's political landscape, with 41% of Kenyans believing it will make President William Ruto's re-election in 2027 more difficult, according to a recent TIFA poll.
- 30% of respondents believe Odinga's absence makes re-election easier for President Ruto, while 18% see no difference.
- The Orange Democratic Movement (ODM) remains the most popular political party at 20%, followed by the United Democratic Alliance (UDA) at 16%, both experiencing significant declines since August 2022.
- The number of undecided voters has doubled to 30% as of November 2025, indicating fluid voter loyalty.
- 50% of Kenyans expect ODM to exit the current Broad-Based Government and return to opposition ahead of the 2027 presidential election.
- There is significant disagreement within the electorate on who should lead ODM's charge in 2027, with 34% preferring a current ODM leader.
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