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Originally published by Nation News
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January 30, 2026
3d ago

ODM without Raila: Lessons from literature as party falters

ODM without Raila: Lessons from literature as party falters

From ‘inawezekana’ to disarray; ODM faces succession crisis...

✨ Key Highlights

The Orange Democratic Movement (ODM) is facing an existential crisis after the death of its charismatic leader, Raila Odinga, leading to internal confusion and power struggles, reminiscent of historical succession crises in literature and ancient empires.

  • Under Raila Odinga, ODM remained tightly unified despite electoral defeats, but his death has created a "whirring maelstrom."
  • The party is experiencing a clear division between old elites, represented by Oburu Odinga, and young loyalists, including Babu Owino, Edwin Sifuna, and Winnie Odinga.
  • The article draws parallels to Shakespeare's Henry IV and King Lear, and the historical succession issues after the deaths of Emperor Augustus and Constantine the Great, highlighting the risk of a political civil war within ODM.

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