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Originally published by Standard Politics
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politics
May 14, 2026
1mo ago

Why ODM, UDA are losing their grip on Kenyan voters

Why ODM, UDA are losing their grip on Kenyan voters

The two parties that have dominated Kenyan politics since 2022 are haemorrhaging support ahead of 2027, with a third force closing in fast, a new poll shows...

✨ Key Highlights

A new poll by TIFA Research indicates that Kenya's dominant political parties, ODM and UDA, are rapidly losing voter support ahead of the 2027 general election.

  • The Orange Democratic Movement (ODM) and United Democratic Alliance (UDA) now command 18% and 17% support respectively, a significant drop from their 38% and 32% in August 2022.
  • Rigathi Gachagua's Democratic Change Party (DCP) has emerged as a "third force," nearly tripling its support to 16% in six months.
  • A substantial 46% of Kenyans feel that no party genuinely represents ordinary citizens.

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Part of the Day's Coverage

Survey: Why Ruto's 24pc lead in 2027 race is more a warning than a comfort - May 2026

A new poll by TIFA Research reveals that if elections were held today, President William Ruto would win with 24% support, his highest rating to date, but this figure is seen as a warning due to a divided opposition. The survey indicates that opposition now stands at 56%, showing significant public disappointment with the broad-based government arrangement. The poll also shows that Kenya's dominant political parties, ODM and UDA, are rapidly losing voter support ahead of the 2027 general election. Meanwhile, Deputy President Kithure Kindiki emerges as the most preferred running mate for Ruto in 2027 according to the same survey.

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