A new poll by TIFA Research reveals that if elections were held today, President William Ruto would win with 24% support, his highest rating to date, but this figure is seen as a warning due to a divided opposition.

• President William Ruto leads with 24% support.
• Other leading contenders include Kalonzo Musyoka (19%) and Fred Matiang'i (14%).
• The survey was conducted between May 2 and 11 among 2,013 Kenyan adults across all 47 counties.

A new poll by TIFA Research indicates that Kenya's dominant political parties, ODM and UDA, are rapidly losing voter support ahead of the 2027 general election.

• The Orange Democratic Movement (ODM) and United Democratic Alliance (UDA) now command 18% and 17% support respectively, a significant drop from their 38% and 32% in August 2022.
• Rigathi Gachagua's Democratic Change Party (DCP) has emerged as a "third force," nearly tripling its support to 16% in six months.
• A substantial 46% of Kenyans feel that no party genuinely represents ordinary citizens.

A new TIFA survey reveals a significant drop in public support for Kenya's broad-based government (BBG) arrangement, with opposition now at 56%.

• Support for the BBG has fallen sharply nationwide since November 2025, with only 30% now in favor.
• The decline is linked to internal divisions within the ODM party following the death of former Prime Minister Raila Odinga.
• ODM supporters are increasingly rejecting the idea of backing President William Ruto in the 2027 General Election.
• Both ODM and UDA have seen a decline in national support, while the Democracy for Citizens Party (DCP) has grown.

A new TIFA poll indicates President William Ruto is currently leading in the fragmented and fluid 2027 presidential race, with voter preferences showing signs of shifting.

• President William Ruto is the current frontrunner.
• The survey was conducted by TIFA.
• The 2027 presidential race is characterized by a fragmented field and fluid voter preferences.

A recent survey reveals a significant decline in public support for the broad-based government over the past six months.

• Support for the broad-based government has dropped.
• The survey highlights growing public concern regarding key national issues, particularly those impacting the economy.
• Respondents expressed dissatisfaction with the current economic situation.

A recent TIFA poll indicates that Deputy President Kithure Kindiki is the top choice to be President William Ruto's running mate in the upcoming 2027 General Election.

• Kithure Kindiki emerged as the most preferred running mate.
• The survey was conducted by TIFA.
• The poll focused on preferences for the 2027 General Election.

A new survey by Tifa Research indicates that Deputy President Kithure Kindiki is the most preferred running mate for President William Ruto in the 2027 General Election.

• Kithure Kindiki garnered 59 per cent support, significantly ahead of other potential candidates.
• The survey highlights strong voter preference for continuity within President Ruto's political camp.
• The poll also explored potential opposition pairings, with a Kalonzo Musyoka and Fred Matiang’i ticket emerging as the most preferred at 31 per cent.