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September 3, 2026
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WMO Gives Nearly 100% Chance of El Niño Persisting Into February 2027

WMO Gives Nearly 100% Chance of El Niño Persisting Into February 2027

Previously, the WMO estimated an 80% likelihood of El Niño conditions emerging between June and August 2026, with probabilities rising to near or above 90% through September and November...

✨ Key Highlights

The World Meteorological Organization (WMO) has issued a near 100% probability that El Niño conditions will persist until February 2027, a significant increase from previous forecasts.

  • Forecasts indicate an exceptionally high likelihood of El Niño persisting through to February 2027.
  • The World Meteorological Organization (WMO) is the primary organization involved.
  • UN Secretary General Antonio Guterres described the phenomenon as "nothing ever seen before," warning of extreme weather due to a rapidly heating planet.

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