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Originally published by The Standard
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October 3, 2026
7h ago

Good seasons can fuel pastoralist conflict too, study finds

Good seasons can fuel pastoralist conflict too, study finds

A new study finds that both drought and unusually good seasons can fuel pastoralist conflict by altering livestock movements, resource competition and the value of animals...

✨ Key Highlights

A new study reveals that good rainy seasons, not just drought, can fuel conflict among pastoralist communities by increasing livestock values and altering migration patterns, intensifying competition over grazing resources.

  • The research, conducted by Dr. Ken Mashisia Shikuku, a senior scientist, challenges the assumption that violence is solely driven by scarcity.
  • The study combined household data with satellite vegetation measurements, indicating that unusually good seasons can also lead to increased violence due to higher livestock wealth and changing movement patterns.
  • Findings suggest that while livestock insurance can help absorb climate-related losses, negotiated grazing arrangements and better resource management are crucial for conflict resolution.

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