UDA, ODM lose ground as 4 in 10 Kenyans identify as non-affiliated in TIFA survey
The latest TIFA survey shows their combined strength has plunged to just 29 per cent, with UDA now at 16 percent and ODM at 13 percent. - Kenya breaking news | Kenya news today | Capitalfm.co.ke..
✨ Key Highlights
Kenya's dominant political parties, UDA and ODM, have experienced a significant decline in support since the August 2022 General Election. A new TIFA survey reveals that nearly 60 percent of their combined support has been lost, with a dramatic increase in Kenyans identifying as non-affiliated.
- 43 percent of Kenyans now identify with no political party, becoming the largest political bloc.
- The combined support for UDA and ODM has plunged from 72 percent post-2022 elections to just 29 percent, with UDA at 16 percent and ODM at 13 percent.
- The Democracy for the Citizens Party (DCP), led by former Deputy President Rigathi Gachagua, emerged as the third most preferred party with 9 percent support.
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TIFA Polls Show Declining Party Support as ODM Faces Violent Primaries - September 2025
A TIFA survey reveals that Kenya's dominant parties, UDA and ODM, have lost significant support since the August 2022 General Election, with a dramatic increase in Kenyans identifying as non-affiliated. Another TIFA Research poll indicates that despite many Kenyans believing Raila Odinga will support President William Ruto's 2027 bid, a significant portion still views him as the face of the opposition. Amidst this, the Orange Democratic Movement (ODM) is leveraging upcoming by-elections as a strategic "dress rehearsal" for the 2027 General Elections. However, the party's primaries for the Kasipul Constituency by-election were delayed due to violent disruptions, with the party accusing one aspirant of intimidating officials and using "goons".
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