Many Kenyans Still Consider Raila Face of Opposition Despite Working With Ruto - TIFA
While Kenyans are divided on Raila's role, three out of 10 agree with his support for Ruto...
✨ Key Highlights
A recent TIFA Research poll indicates that while many Kenyans believe Raila Odinga will support President William Ruto's 2027 re-election bid, a significant portion still views him as the face of the opposition.
- 32 percent of Kenyans surveyed believe Odinga will support Ruto in 2027, while 23 percent want him to lead the opposition.
- The survey, conducted by TIFA Research Analyst Tom Wolf, also found UDA to be the most popular party with 16 percent.
- 48 percent of Kenyans expressed no confidence in the Independent Electoral and Boundaries Commission (IEBC) ahead of the 2027 polls.
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TIFA Polls Show Declining Party Support as ODM Faces Violent Primaries - September 2025
A TIFA survey reveals that Kenya's dominant parties, UDA and ODM, have lost significant support since the August 2022 General Election, with a dramatic increase in Kenyans identifying as non-affiliated. Another TIFA Research poll indicates that despite many Kenyans believing Raila Odinga will support President William Ruto's 2027 bid, a significant portion still views him as the face of the opposition. Amidst this, the Orange Democratic Movement (ODM) is leveraging upcoming by-elections as a strategic "dress rehearsal" for the 2027 General Elections. However, the party's primaries for the Kasipul Constituency by-election were delayed due to violent disruptions, with the party accusing one aspirant of intimidating officials and using "goons".
